CK013’s MLB Best Bets (FREE) – 3/28/19


Use the units to determine both a confidence meter and a rubric on how much to wager. It is a good idea to keep units a metric to help you manage your bankroll and understand how much you’re up or down. You determine what the value of each unit is but it is important to try you’re best to stay consistent with the value of the unit. Going up or down based off of your available bankroll is fine but stay as disciplined as you can, bankroll management is just as important if not more the actual handicapping of games.

Keep in mind that there is juice to pay to the books so if a line is -110 that would mean you would need to risk 1.1 units to win 1.

For example: If one unit = $100, you would need to risk $110 to win $100 on a -110 bet.


Current NBA Record: 1-0 (+2 Units)

MLB Best Bets

New York Mets +115, *2 Units to win 2.3*

The Nationals are throwing out two lefties against deGrom who has dominated righties over his career. A lot has been said about the Mets travel schedule which Syndergaard publicly criticized but I think that just adds to the inflation of this line. The Mets are one of the best opening day teams and we are getting them as dogs with the NL Cy Young winner on the bump and no Bryce Harper.

Oakland Athletics -110, *2.2 Units to win 2*

The A’s are home against Trevor Cahill who is primarily a ground-ball pitcher but the A’s have some big time fly ball hitters in Khris Davis, Matt Champman and others. I think A’s tag up Cahill here at home and will side with the flight favorites.

San Diego Padres -120, *2.2 Units to win 2*

The Padres have some right-handed power in Manny Machado, Will Myers and Hunter Renfroe. The Giants are throwing four-five lefties against the left-handed Eric Lauer. The Padres have some momentum going into the start of the season with their signing of Machado. I’ll take the home team here.