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Use the units to determine both a confidence meter and a rubric on how much to wager. It is a good idea to keep units a metric to help you manage your bankroll and understand how much you’re up or down. You determine what the value of each unit is but it is important to try you’re best to stay consistent with the value of the unit. Going up or down based off of your available bankroll is fine but stay as disciplined as you can, bankroll management is just as important if not more the actual handicapping of games.
Keep in mind that there is juice to pay to the books so if a line is -110 that would mean you would need to risk 1.1 units to win 1.
For example: If one unit = $100, you would need to risk $110 to win $100 on a -110 bet.
My Notes: 1-2 yesterday we need to switch the vibes. LFG!!!
2019 MLB Record YTD: 15-6 (+17 Units)
MLB Best Bets
New York Mets +105, *2 Units to win 2.3*
Zack Wheeler hasn’t looked very good to start the season but I still think he is under valued in the betting market against the unproven Kyle Wright who will be facing some pretty power lefties in that Mets lineup in a park favorable to left-handed hitting. Wheeler may get hit a bit as the Braves don’t strikeout much usually especially against righties but expect the Mets bats to hit this Kyle Wright kid and the Atlanta bullpen.
Oakland Athletics -110, *2.2 Units to win 2*
The A’s have been red hot to start the season and they Drew Smyly in Arlington who has struggled to start the season. Fiers hasn’t looked great either but he has had success against these Rangers with quality outings in his last three starts against them going back to last season. The A’s will be throwing a heavy right-handed lineup at Smyly who is backed by an unproven Ranger bullpen.
Arizona Diamondbacks +105, *2 Units to win 2.3*
The Padres are playing well and they will be sending out their young prospect Paddock to take on the D-Backs. Paddock certainly has some good stuff but I think there is value in backing Luke Weaver is a little more experienced and while he may not have the stuff that Paddock has, he has been pretty tough on right-handed hitters over the course of his career and that is something the Padres have a lot of. The Padres lack of lefties could lead to a decent outing from Weaver, the D-Backs bullpen is awful so we have to be worried about them blowing the game late but D-Backs have shown fight in the early going so lets not rule out their offense so quickly.