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Use the units to determine both a confidence meter and a rubric on how much to wager. It is a good idea to keep units a metric to help you manage your bankroll and understand how much you’re up or down. You determine what the value of each unit is but it is important to try you’re best to stay consistent with the value of the unit. Going up or down based off of your available bankroll is fine but stay as disciplined as you can, bankroll management is just as important if not more the actual handicapping of games.
Keep in mind that there is juice to pay to the books so if a line is -110 that would mean you would need to risk 1.1 units to win 1.
For example: If one unit = $100, you would need to risk $110 to win $100 on a -110 bet.
My Notes: 2-0 yesterday felt good after a few 50/50 type of days. Lets keep the momentum going here nation.
2019 MLB Record YTD: 19-9 (+21.1 Units)
MLB Best Bets
New York Mets +105, *2 Units to win 2.1*
Don’t be fooled by Syndergaard’s 4.74 ERA, he has pitched much better than that according to some of his advanced metrics. Syndergaard has managed a very low 26.5% hard contact rate in the early going and his SIERA of 3.00 along with his xFIP of 3.07 tell us his results haven’t exactly matched his performances. The Phillies are coming off of an extra inning game in Miami against the Marlins where they failed to score more than one run in the first 13 innings of the game. Syndergaard seems undervalued even against a dangerous offense, lets take the dog here on the road.
Los Angeles Angels -125, *2.5 Units to win 2*
Shelby Miller has been downright awful for quite sometime. The Angels offense is nothing to brag about but they should be getting Mike Trout back in their lineup which certainly makes a big difference. The Ranger lefty bats are certainly threatening against Cahill however in terms of pitch quality (in 2019) he rates as one of the best tonight. More of a bet against Shelby Miller.