CK013’s MLB Best Bets (FREE) – 4/26/19


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Use the units to determine both a confidence meter and a rubric on how much to wager. It is a good idea to keep units a metric to help you manage your bankroll and understand how much you’re up or down. You determine what the value of each unit is but it is important to try you’re best to stay consistent with the value of the unit. Going up or down based off of your available bankroll is fine but stay as disciplined as you can, bankroll management is just as important if not more the actual handicapping of games.

Keep in mind that there is juice to pay to the books so if a line is -110 that would mean you would need to risk 1.1 units to win 1.

For example: If one unit = $100, you would need to risk $110 to win $100 on a -110 bet.

My Notes: Terrible loss last night, good thing we went a little smaller.

2019 MLB Record YTD: 22-12 (+22.8 Units)

MLB Best Bets

Texas Rangers +140, *3 Units to win 4.2*

The Rangers let us down last night but I’ll be going right back to it tonight. The Mariners will be throwing Kikuchi who will only be opening the game tonight. After that Justus Sheffield makes his debut and he has been awful in the minors so far this season. Justus shows a 3.93 ERA but his xFIP through four AAA appearances was 6.67. Sheffield had just a 5.4 K/9 and an extremely high 6.87 BB/9.