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Use the units to determine both a confidence meter and a rubric on how much to wager. It is a good idea to keep units a metric to help you manage your bankroll and understand how much you’re up or down. You determine what the value of each unit is but it is important to try you’re best to stay consistent with the value of the unit. Going up or down based off of your available bankroll is fine but stay as disciplined as you can, bankroll management is just as important if not more the actual handicapping of games.
Keep in mind that there is juice to pay to the books so if a line is -110 that would mean you would need to risk 1.1 units to win 1.
For example: If one unit = $100, you would need to risk $110 to win $100 on a -110 bet.
My Notes: After a few days off to focus on the DFS side, we are back at it and we looking to bounce back.
2019 MLB Record YTD: 12-2 (+19.4 Units)
MLB Best Bets
Atlanta Braves +125, *2 Units to win 2.5*
The Rockies are off to a rough start in 2019 and their hottest hitter may have gotten hurt. The Rockies haven’t shown us a lot of lefties lately and that’s fairly important when facing a pitcher like Julio Teheran. Teheran had a 27% strikeout rate with a wOBA of .270. This is Coors and that is an equalizer for the fly-baller but it’s also worth mention the Braves have hit Freeland pretty well over the years. Riding with the dogs on this one.
Philadelphia Phillies -130, *2.6 Units to win 2*
The Phillies are playing good baseball and while the Nationals just beat up Zack Wheeler their bullpen almost blew it again. If the Phills can get Sanchez out early they could tee off against this terrible Nationals bullpen that the Mets embarrassed in a much larger ball park. A big price for Velazquez I know but think of it as a bet against Sanchez and the National bullpen.