CK013’s MLB Best Bets (FREE) – 5/17/19


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Use the units to determine both a confidence meter and a rubric on how much to wager. It is a good idea to keep units a metric to help you manage your bankroll and understand how much you’re up or down. You determine what the value of each unit is but it is important to try you’re best to stay consistent with the value of the unit. Going up or down based off of your available bankroll is fine but stay as disciplined as you can, bankroll management is just as important if not more the actual handicapping of games.

Keep in mind that there is juice to pay to the books so if a line is -110 that would mean you would need to risk 1.1 units to win 1.

For example: If one unit = $100, you would need to risk $110 to win $100 on a -110 bet.

My Notes: 

2019 MLB Record YTD: 26-13 (+27.8 Units)

MLB Best Bets

Colorado Rockies +110, *2 Units to win 2.2*

The Phillies offense seems to be waking up a bit but I was still surprised to see the Phillies favored in this against Jon Gray. This Phillies pitcher Cole Irvin had a 5.48 xFIP in his six starts in AAA this year. His debut was against the Royals who are awful against lefties and the game was in Kansas City one of the larger parks in the game. The Rockies have been on the road for a bit now and they saw E-Rod and Sale, two lefties who are significantly better than this dude. Also Jon Gray is typically better on the road no surprise there being that his home park is Coors making any road game a park bump.