(FREE) CK013’s KBO DFS DraftKings Breakdown – 5/23/20

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Welcome to baseball in 2020 at least for now. I for one am thrilled to have a traditional sport back. This is nothing against E-Sports which I have developed a pretty strong appreciation for during this time, but a sport that I have known since I was a child is certainly more exciting to me than one that I didn’t know existed until a couple of years ago especially when I am plan on investing my money into it.

Getting into KBO DFS statistically it does seem like the homers and strikeouts are down compared to the MLB numbers we are used to however the scoring of runs wasn’t as down as you’d think. Offenses do seem to produce it just seems to be at a slower rate than we are accustomed to in the MLB which makes sense as we did notice the strikeouts are also down.

Strategically the same DFS rules apply in finding lower owned plays in GPPs and playing the safer ones in cash. We don’t have the advanced analytics we have grown to love in the MLB so we are really back to basics here in terms of interpreting the stats. This is baseball and correlation could become even more important with small ball leading the way. As usual I will be applying a 5 man stack in every team.

NOTE: Be sure to check out our cheatsheet and projections, and always check back on all content after lineups are released. Supposedly they are released an hour before game-time so we will find out. In the meantime we are covering DraftKings, we will announce if we are able to add content for FanDuel.

Below you will find the pitchers and stacks that stood out to me the most. Without lineups it can be tough to get specific but I will highlight the hitters from stacks to start the stack around.

NOTE: All Lineups are projected lineups only, they are not confirmed. Projections and cheatsheets will be updated with confirmed lineups as they are released.

Pitchers

Drew Rucinski

Rucinski was solid in the KBO last year finishing 2019 with a 3.66 FIP and a 1.179 WHIP. His 16.28% strikeout rate and his 178% is somewhere what the league average was for last year. In 2020 so far his FIP is up a bit at 4.04, his WHIP is up at 1.558 and his HR% is up at 2.56%, on a positive note his strikeouts are up a bit at 17.95%. The Hanwha Eagles are one of the lower ranked offenses especially in the power department, but they aren’t always striking out as much as you’d think. Drew is backed in this one by a powerful offense in the Dinos so that helps his chances of securing a win but we do have some other options to consider for cheaper.

2019

Value Player Projection Position Price Team Opponent ERA FIP Diff WHIP K% HR%
1.73 Drew Rucinski 16.09 P 9,300 NCD HAN 3.05 3.66 -0.61 1.179 16.28% 1.78%

2020

Value Player Projection 19 Projection 20 Projection POS Price Team OPP ERA FIP Diff WHIP K% HR%
1.73 Drew Rucinski 14.20 14.96 16.09 P 9,300 NCD HAN 3.63 4.04 -0.40567 1.558 17.95% 2.56%

Eric Jokisch

The KBO Joker was solid last season posting a 3.02 FIP, a 1.131 WHIP an 18.9% strikeout rate and a 1.21% HR%. So far in 2020 his FIP is down to 1.81, his WHIP is down to 0.706, his strikeouts are up to 23.33% and his HR% is currently 0. Perhaps we should expect Jokisch’s numbers to regress towards his 2019 mean but those numbers are still pretty sick. Today he sees the Lotte Giants who stole the slate yesterday but are expected to have one of the weaker offenses in the league. Jokisch is cheaper than Drew and to be honest his numbers both last year and this year look better from a fantasy perspective, consider him a top option tonight.

2019

Value Player Projection Position Price Team Opponent ERA FIP Diff WHIP K% HR%
1.95 Eric Jokisch 17.40 P 8,900 KIW LOT 3.13 3.02 0.11 1.131 18.90% 1.21%

2020

Value Player Projection 19 Projection 20 Projection POS Price Team OPP ERA FIP Diff WHIP K% HR%
1.95 Eric Jokisch 16.38 21.88 17.40 P 8,900 KIW LOT 0.53 1.81 -1.27588 0.706 23.33% 0.00%

Woo Chan Cha

Cha had decent numbers last season but for the most part he looks medicore. He posted a 4.00 FIP, a 1.426 WHIP, a 16.99% strikeout rate and a 2.19% HR%. So far in 2020 he’s showing a 4.29 FIP, a 1.500 WHIP, a 4.23% HR% but he also holding a 26.76% strikeout rate. The strikeouts have been impressive especially in his first game which was against Doosan but looking at what he did last year we should expect that number to come down a big after he’s accrued a larger sample. With that said he has tough match-up today against the KT Wiz and should he struggle to strikeout enough hitters, he does seem prone to the long-ball both last year and this year. I think with all the pitching we have I lean more towards attacking Cha than rostering him but again the strikeouts so far have been impressive if he can sustain them.

2019

Value Player Projection Position Price Team Opponent ERA FIP Diff WHIP K% HR%
1.52 Woo Chan Cha 12.64 P 8,300 LG KTW 4.12 4.00 0.12 1.426 16.99% 2.19%

2020

Value Player Projection 19 Projection 20 Projection POS Price Team OPP ERA FIP Diff WHIP K% HR%
1.52 Woo Chan Cha 13.03 16.07 12.64 P 8,300 LG KTW 5.63 4.29 1.34250 1.500 26.76% 4.23%

Aaron Brooks

This is Aaron Brooks’ first year in the KBO so we don’t have a huge sample to work with but what we have seen has been pretty good. So far he’s got a 1.21 FIP, a 1.278 WHIP, a 22.97% strikeout rate and a 0% HR%. Brooks will face off against SK today who have started off the season terribly at 2-13. We have seen SK call up some younger players and we have seen them susceptible to strikeouts. Based off the price, match-up and skill of the pitcher it seems that Brooks is a top arm tonight and he projects the best for us point per dollar.

2020

Value Player Projection 19 Projection 20 Projection POS Price Team OPP ERA FIP Diff WHIP K% HR%
2.60 Aaron Brooks 18.43 16.43 20.25 P 7,800 KIA SK 3.00 1.21 1.78889 1.278 22.97% 0.00%

Raul Alcantara

Alcantara had a 3.68 FIP and a 1.251 WHIP in 2019. His 2.07% HR% was above the average and his strikeout rate of 13.81% was below average. So far in 2020 his numbers have been almost identical with a 3.27 FIP, a 1.389 WHIP and a 2.6% HR% though his strikeouts are currently up at 20.78%. Alcantara will face the Samsung Lions who have been one of the better teams to target starting pitchers against.  It’s tough to be a believer in Alcantara’s 20% strikeout rate after seeing him finish a huge sample of starts last year with a 13.81% rate. He will be in the pool since the match-up is good and he has been good but I have him behind Brooks Jokisch and maybe more.

2019

Value Player Projection Position Price Team Opponent ERA FIP Diff WHIP K% HR%
1.99 Raul Alcantara 15.11 P 7,600 DOO SAM 4.01 3.68 0.33 1.251 13.81% 2.07%

2020

Value Player Projection 19 Projection 20 Projection POS Price Team OPP ERA FIP Diff WHIP K% HR%
1.99 Raul Alcantara 12.82 16.50 15.11 P 7,600 DOO SAM 4.00 3.27 0.73333 1.389 20.78% 2.60%

Tae Hoon Kim

Kim was a reliever last year so we need to temper out expectations when we see his 2019 numbers of a 2.96 FIP, a 1.263 WHIP, a 1.35% HR% and a 25.68% strikeout rate. So far in 2020 he’s had two starts and has posted a 3.10 FIP, a 0.770 WHIP, a 19.57% strikeout rate  and a 0% HR%. It’s nice to see that some of those numbers are similar with his bullpen efforts from last year. Kim should be one of the lower owned options being that we have so many foreign players on this slate and the match-up against KIA isn’t exactly easy but it is beatable. Kim isn’t necessarily my favorite arm on the slate, but again I do see some extra value in what his ownership should come in at especially at a low price.

2019

Value Player Projection Position Price Team Opponent ERA FIP Diff WHIP K% HR%
1.92 Tae Hoon Kim 13.98 P 7,300 SK KIA 3.88 2.96 0.92 1.263 25.68% 1.35%

2020

Value Player Projection 19 Projection 20 Projection POS Price Team OPP ERA FIP Diff WHIP K% HR%
1.92 Tae Hoon Kim 2.95 18.93 13.98 P 7,300 SK KIA 1.38 3.10 -1.72000 0.770 19.57% 0.00%

Top Stacks

Doosan Bears

The Doosan Bears have a team total over/under of 6.5 at Pinnacle Sportsbook which is the highest we have seen to date this season. They are obviously a very good offense and they will face off against Dae Woo Kim who pitched out of the bullpen last season. In 44 relief appearances Kim finished 2019 with a 5.21 FIP, a 1.29 WHIP, a 15.81% strikeout rate and a 4.35% HR%. The Samsung bullpen was beat up pretty good yesterday after Lively left the game early only facing one batter and this will no doubt be a bullpen game again which should give a sizable advantage to the Bears offense. Jose Fernandez had himself a day yesterday to continue his hot start to 2020. Jae Hwan Kim is off to a hot start, he currently has a .314 ISO with four homers in the early going.

wOBA ISO HR HR% SB K%
Doo B/O 19 20 19 20 19 20 19 20 19 20 19 20 Runs
Kun Woo Park 1 0.377 0.310 0.146 0.113 10 1 1.86% 1.64% 12 0 10.61% 13.11% 6.5
Jose Fernandez 2 0.394 0.498 0.138 0.203 15 2 2.33% 3.03% 1 0 8.37% 10.61% 6.5
Joo Hwan Choi 3 0.308 0.369 0.088 0.302 4 3 1.23% 6.25% 0 0 10.77% 10.42% 6.5
Jae Hwan Kim 4 0.353 0.435 0.152 0.314 15 4 2.61% 6.67% 3 0 19.69% 28.33% 6.5
Jae Won Oh 5 0.250 0.453 0.107 0.261 3 2 1.47% 8.70% 6 1 24.51% 26.09% 6.5
Jae Ho Kim 6 0.336 0.402 0.090 0.077 4 0 0.85% 0.00% 3 1 12.34% 8.33% 6.5
Se Hyuk Park 7 0.326 0.362 0.111 0.000 4 0 0.79% 0.00% 8 0 13.47% 6.52% 6.5
Kyoung Min Hur 8 0.323 0.304 0.082 0.102 4 1 0.74% 1.61% 11 1 6.67% 4.84% 6.5
Soo Bin Jung 9 0.311 0.273 0.066 0.038 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 26 1 11.70% 8.93% 6.5

Kiwoom Heroes

The Heroes will face In Bok Lee who also pitched out of the bullpen last year though he only saw 11 games. In those 11 games he had an  FIP of 6, a WHIP of 3.00, a strikeout rate of 9.46% and a HR% of 2.70%. The Heroes offense was expected to one of the stronger ones in the KBO to start the season and they have gotten off to a somewhat slow start, expect them to turn things around at some point. ByungHo Park has been pretty bad to start the season. He currently has a .132 ISO compared to a .280 ISO last year and he has a .300 wOBA compared to a .416 wOBA last year. Pay attention to the status of Ha Seong Kim, he injured his ankle two games ago and sat out yesterday however they said he had no structural damage and he’s with the team. Kim was a multiple threat option last year with a .387 wOBA, a .183 ISO and 33 stolen bases.

wOBA ISO HR HR% SB K%
KIW B/O 19 20 19 20 19 20 19 20 19 20 19 20 Runs
Keon Chang Seo 1 0.338 0.365 0.082 0.172 2 2 0.41% 3.03% 17 4 10.29% 7.58% 5.5
Ha Seong Kim 2 0.387 0.359 0.183 0.193 19 2 3.04% 2.94% 33 2 12.80% 13.24% 5.5
Jung Hoo Lee 3 0.370 0.491 0.120 0.321 6 3 0.95% 4.69% 13 1 6.35% 7.81% 5.5
ByungHo Park 4 0.416 0.300 0.280 0.132 33 2 6.20% 3.17% 0 0 21.99% 30.16% 5.5
Taek Keun Lee 5 0.363 0.266 0.127 0.118 4 0 1.12% 0.00% 1 0 12.36% 37.14% 5.5
Dong Won Park 6 0.359 0.423 0.148 0.302 10 3 2.77% 6.52% 1 0 15.51% 15.22% 5.5
Hye Sung Kim 7 0.309 0.249 0.086 0.000 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 20 2 21.96% 21.74% 5.5
Ji Young Lee 8 0.349 0.366 0.099 0.114 3 0 0.96% 0.00% 2 1 11.22% 13.51% 5.5
Joon Tae Park 9 0.215 0.307 0.073 0.030 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 1 0 31.91% 30.23% 5.5

LG Twins

The Twins will see Min Kim who finished 2019 with a 4.65 FIP, a 1.593 WHIP, a 13.5% strikeout rate and a 2.37% HR%. The Twins have a high powered offense anchored by Roberto Ramos and his .468 ISO in the early going. Outside of former major leaguer Hyun Soo Kim the prices of these Twins remain low and they will face a bad pitcher today. We have a few different choices for stacks tonight but we tried to narrow it down to our favorites, LG has the second highest implied run total on the slate at 5.5.

wOBA ISO HR HR% SB K%
LG B/O 19 20 19 20 19 20 19 20 19 20 19 20 Runs
Chun Woong Lee 1 0.339 0.354 0.066 0.130 2 1 0.33% 1.67% 21 4 13.38% 15.00% 5.5
Hyun Soo Kim 2 0.360 0.434 0.133 0.211 11 1 1.85% 1.64% 3 0 8.74% 9.84% 5.5
Eun Sung Chae 3 0.349 0.360 0.119 0.151 12 2 2.33% 3.45% 2 0 13.04% 20.69% 5.5
Roberto Ramos 4 0.422 0.580 0.271 0.468 30 6 5.96% 10.71% 0 0 28.03% 17.86% 5.5
Min Sung Kim 5 0.310 0.333 0.111 0.128 8 0 2.00% 0.00% 2 0 18.70% 17.78% 5.5
Yong Taik Park 6 0.308 0.274 0.062 0.065 1 0 0.47% 0.00% 3 1 13.95% 18.00% 5.5
Ji Hwan Oh 7 0.322 0.221 0.127 0.091 9 1 1.65% 1.92% 27 0 20.66% 26.92% 5.5
Kang Nam Yoo 8 0.340 0.264 0.167 0.143 16 1 3.42% 2.44% 0 1 17.52% 21.95% 5.5
Ju Hyeon Jung 9 0.270 0.339 0.077 0.348 2 2 0.47% 7.69% 15 1 21.41% 23.08% 5.5