(FREE) CK013’s NBA DFS Core Plays – 1/25/20

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Being that we have a smaller four game slate and no stream tonight, I decided to write notes on each game. Normally I try to write notes about the key teams I am interested in but with a slate this size why not touch base on them all. As usual I will list my GPP Core at the bottom and make sure you check back throughout the day as things often change in the NBA when news comes out.

UPDATES:

Check back for updates as we get more news.

Slate Notes

Brooklyn Nets @ Detroit Pistons +2 – 227.5

According to our schedule notes from Jon Irvin the Pistons will be playing a back-to-back completing a stretch of four games in six nights while the Nets will play a game tomorrow. On the Brooklyn side we have some news we are waiting for as DeAndre Jordan and Nicholas Claxton both missed the last game. Should they sit Jarrett Allen would be in for another night of 30 minutes or more though he failed to do anything with those minutes against the Lakers. Kyrie Irving still looks underpriced, in a close game he figures to see 33 minutes or more and the usage has been fine despite a poor outing last time out. He projects the best as of now.

Spencer Dinwiddie should see his 30 minutes and should Kyrie Irving struggle again he figures to have better odds of putting up a solid score though his pricing on FanDuel is softer than it is on DraftKings. Caris LeVert’s usage has looked awesome but with Kyrie Irving healthy they can’t seem to find him enough minutes. Against the Lakers he only played well but only had 23 minutes as the team gave up with a few minutes left. Joe Harris is cheap but when everyone is healthy he becomes very scoring dependent and 30 minutes doesn’t seem to be close to a guarantee. We have only seen him crack 30 minutes in games without Kyrie lately though this is a good match-up for Harris.

UPDATE #1: DeAndre Jordan is out but Nicholas Claxton is in so there will be a back-up center. Allen still has a good shot to play minutes closer to 30 but Claxton is well liked by the coach.

UPDATE #2: The Nets have announced that they will move Spencer Dinwiddie to the bench and will start either Caris LeVert or Garrett in his place. This seems like it would be good for Kyrie Irving especially if Temple starts. LeVeret and Dinwiddie did show better fantasy outputs when playing together rather than playing with Kyrie. If LeVert starts you would expect his minutes to be a bit better though for his usage he’s better off playing without Kyrie as much as possible.

The Pistons have been banged up and we will be waiting for the status of Andre Drummond as he would have in a great match-up against the Nets who have gotten torched by bigs for what seems like a decade. Should Drummond miss again Thon Maker would likely draw the start while Christian Wood would once again become chalk and for good reason. Reggie Jackson is back and joined the starting lineup last night, he’s smashed two games in a row despite playing 19 and 23 minutes in each. Being that he just returned from injury Jackson’s status is something to monitor but should he play he gets another soft match-up.

Derrick Rose has played well lately, at some point you’d expect his minutes go back down to around the 30 mark but if the team continues to deal with injuries they will have to continue to rely on him. Like we mentioned for Jackson this is another great match-up for point guards. Markieff Morris didn’t start this go around though his usage off the bench has looked good so far. Markieff would be a GPP value option on a small slate should he remain on the second unit though he would become a bit more optimal should he get moved into the starting lineup as his minute expectation would be greater.

UPDATE #1: Reggie Jackson has been ruled out for rest while Bruce Brown is available and Andre Drummond has been upgraded to probable. Drummond is in a smash spot and he would make Christian Wood less desirable. Jackson being out should secure Rose’s usage and dominant stance as the point guard in a good match-up though Bruce Brown is around to pick up the minutes Jackson will be leaving behind and he is extremely cheap as well. 

Chicago Bulls @ Cleveland Cavaliers -1.5 – 214.5

Tough spot for Chicago who are on a back-to-back and completing a four in six. With Lauri Markkanen out Thaddeus Young figures to be pretty chalky again and for good reason. The Bulls were blown out last night but Thad still played 29 minutes last night and while he didn’t impress, he got the job done for the most part. Zach Lavine would be the preferred option if price wasn’t a thing, but it is making him a GPP only type of play. The match-up is soft so he will certainly have a chance at posting monster numbers but it will depend on his efficiency as well. Kris Dunn has played well lately and he has a soft match-up though his price is creeping up.

Colby White has gotten some extra minutes lately but he has failed to do much with them, we do know the upside he has when he’s hot making him a GPP value option. Chandler Hutchison did not get much of a minute increase last night but he still got 20 minutes and played well at a low price. In terms of the centers Cristiano Felicio played more minutes than Luke Kornet though neither played particularly well.

The Cavs have had a day off and no game tomorrow so they have an advantage schedule wise. Tristan Thompson is coming off of a terrible game in a great spot but his price has fallen pretty damn low and he once again finds himself in a great match-up. His minutes have been a bit shaky leading to questions about his standing with the head coach but assuming he gets his 30+ this seems like a great price and match-up combo.

Kevin Love has played big minutes when he’s played and that should be the case again tonight, he’s enjoyed success against the Bulls and is in a great spot for rebounds and offense. His price on DraftKings makes him a GPP option but on FanDuel he flirts with optimal.Collins Sexton has played well and played big minutes though his prices are creeping up as well. Larry Nance has been playing extremely well off the bench, he double-doubled in the last game while Thompson struggled and played 21 minutes. The two don’t seem correlate well but one of them figure to take advantage of this softer match-up.

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Minnesota Timberwolves +2 – 226

Both teams here are on back-to-backs and stretches of four games of six nights. Steven Adams has been banged up lately leading to Nerlins Noel and Mike Muscala to pick up bigger minutes and requiring the other starters to step up their usage rates. Should Adams get ruled out Nerlins Noel would have to be strongly considered as his price would still be too low for the upside he has. Last night he busted as chalk so if Adams does get ruled out it will be interesting to see who goes back and who doesn’t. If Adams plays his ownership would probably be low, he smashed the Timberwolves twice this year though KAT only played in the first game and it went to overtime.

Chris Paul and Danillo Gallinari have played consistently and on a four game slate they seem perfectly fine. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has played big minutes and should continue to making him a GPP option with a high minute floor. The team in general would be more attractive if Adams were to miss but either way the Timberwolves are more competitive with KAT back and they don’t play very good defense.

UPDATE #1: Danillo Gallinari has been ruled out. Obviously give a boost for main the starters, keep an eye on Steven Adams status for the big situation. Chris Paul, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Dennis Schroder and Steven Adams (if he plays) should benefit the most. 

UPDATE #2: Nerlins Noel has been ruled out along with Gallo, Steven Adams is still questionable so we will see what to do with the big at this point. Mike Muscala would draw the start if Adams were to miss.

Karl-Anthony Towns would be the most attractive piece for the Wolves with Andrew Wiggins as a second option. With Adams there KAT can still play his perimeter game and if he’s out he could probably do a little more. As far as Wiggins goes the Thunder have struggled at times against wing scorers though Wiggins efficiency is a scary thing to rely on.

Josh Okogee has played better lately and his price is still very low though we know what his floor looks like and it can get ugly. Shabazz Napier may have his hands full with Chris Paul but his price is low enough to reach on a small slate. With Wiggins and KAT both healthy they seem to really soak up a lot of the usage not leaving a ton left for the others.

Los Angeles Lakers @ Philadelphia 76ers -4 – 217.5

The Lakers continue their trip to the east coast tonight despite having a day off they are still in a stretch of four games in six nights. Seems like a softer spot for the 76ers however keep in mind the 76ers are without Joel Embiid and Josh Richardson. The Lakers have a couple players we need to monitor as well, JaVale McGee missed the last game and he’s questionable with an illness. Rajon Rondo and Anthony Davis are questionable while Kyle Kuzma is probable so again a few pieces to keep an eye on.

Should everyone play, LeBron and AD figure to be the main targets but if McGee misses we will once again look to Dwight Howard to take advantage of the 76ers without Embiid’s presence. The 76ers’ defense is going to take a hit with Embiid and Richardson out which bodes well for the Lakers but they are still a good team with good players and this is a tough part of the schedule for the Lakers being across the country for so long.

UPDATE #1: JaVale McGee is out again so expect Dwight Howard to get more run at center. He only played 23 minutes last time out despite smashing but his team blew out the Nets which probably took some minutes away.

Ben Simmons has played huge minutes and that should continue with two starters out. Tobias Harris should remain the main shooter and stands to benefit from Richardson’s absence again in terms of usage, he seems to make the most sense from a production and price standpoint. Al Horford appears to be the least attractive of the remaining starters but obviously he should see a usage bump as well.

Furkan Korkmaz and Matisse Thybulle figure to play big minutes due to the injuries, both have failed to show a strong ceiling but they have shown upside at their cheap prices. They do seem like GPP flyer options more than anything else.

DraftKings Core Plays

Thaddeus Young

Tobias Harris

Andre Drummond

Kyrie Irving

Chris Paul

FanDuel Core Plays

Thaddeus Young

Tobias Harris

Derrick Rose

Kyrie Irving

Shai-Gilgeous Alexander

PG

  1. Kyrie Irving

  2. Derrick Rose

  3. Chris Paul

  4. Ben Simmons

  5. Shabazz Napier

SG

  1. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

  2. Andrew Wiggins

  3. Spencer Dinwiddie

  4. Dennis Schroder

  5. Zach Lavine

SF

  1. Tobias Harris

  2. LeBron James

  3. Bruce Brown

  4. Caris LeVert

  5. Josh Okogee

PF

  1. Thaddeus Young

  2. Kevin Love

  3. Anthony Davis

  4. Robert Covington

  5. Al Horford

C

  1. Andre Drummond

  2. Tristan Thompson

  3. Karl-Anthony Towns

  4. Steven Adams (Q)

  5. Jarrett Allen