Previously known as the GPP Pitching Prospectus, this article will now cover pitchers for both cash games and GPPs. I spend a majority of my day researching pitchers so I figured in addition to my thoughts on GPP flyers, why not list the guys I like in cash as well.
To be clear I typically don’t make my final choices until moments before the games start. This is because I am always checking the WiseTake Pitching model to see what opposing line-up numbers look like. I do however have a short list of pitchers that I am interested in for the day and will be sharing that with you.
The Pitching Prospectus w/ CK013
Slate Notes: Pretty solid GPP slate, no clear cut safe options.
Higher Cost Options –
- Jose Quintana – Big favorite and should be fairly popular in cash. I do not really like this spot for Quintana against the Reds but there aren’t very many options and he is one of the bigger names on the board. On FanDuel I’d imagine Quintana will be even more popular do to his price.
- Zack Grienke – Grienke isn’t going to seem as a “safe” play to many due to both his match-up and ball-park, but Grienke his pitched great at home including a much higher K rate. The Astros don’t strikeout but they have been pretty cold despite playing in hitter friendly parks.
Lower Cost Options –
- Jarred Eickhoff – Eickhoff is a decent pitcher and he pitched well against Padres last time. On FanDuel he is crazy cheap considering his match-up. With all the expensive bats on the slate, I’d imagine Eickhoff is very popular today and I get it. It’s hard not to like him at that price on FanDuel and even on DraftKings where he is $8,000 he still brings strikeout upside in a match-up and park that should help him out. My dummy line-up on FanDuel currently has Eickhoff with Stanton, Blackmon and Freeman, think about that for a second.
- Adam Conley – This is more suited for DraftKings but the Giants are bad and Conley is dirt cheap. I don’t see tremendous upside here but he’s a big favorite and it’s a Coors slate so you may want exposure to some big bats. Again this is purely a price play on DraftKings.
Higher Cost Options –
- Kevin Gausman – Seattle isn’t typically a team I look to target pitchers against due to their power and lack of Ks but we must respect Kevin Gausman’s gangsta. He has been pitching great lately on a consistent level and he’s coming off of a game where he struck out six Angels, a team that doesn’t strikeout… at all, in only 5 innings (though it wasn’t a great outing). Gausman is definitely in play especially on a slate with pitching this poor.
- Zack Grienke – Grienke is below Quintana on the list above strictly out of respect to the Astros but in GPPs I think if your trying to pay up Grienke is interesting. Again your not walking away from 12Ks but if the Astros stay cold they could put some balls in play on quick pitches and Grienke’s pitch count could stay pretty low. Grienke could go a full 9 if the Astros bats remain quiet, but that’s a big if.
Cheaper Options –
- Jared Eickhoff – Yes I mentioned he will probably be the chalk and I still believe that but the pitching options are pretty bad tonight. Even if Eickhoff is chalk, it may be the bats you need to differentiate on. Again we have to respect the upside Eickhoff has himself and in this match-up/park.
- Asher Wojciechowski – Long for sure but this guy has been ok. He carries some decent K-upside and the Cubs know how to strikeout and are playing their first game back home after leaving Chase Field. Woj doesn’t have a super high ceiling but he’s cheap enough to make up for it. Again there are a ton of bats and he gives to access to that extra big bat that the other pitchers may restrict you from. I don’t know if any pitcher will be able to put up 50 tonight so if you get even a decent performance, you are still in play with Woj and this guy will be low-owned.
- Adam Conley – On a slate with terrible pitching options Conley won’t be as sneaky as he normally can be especially on DraftKings where he is $5,800. The Giants strikeout more against lefties and yesterday they played two games before hopping on a plane and traveling to Miami. Conley has shown flashes of upside throughout his mediocre career but he has failed to show true consistency so he obviously carries risk even here.