Hey WiseTake Nation,
9 game slate.
Listed some of my favorite stacks under players. ARI, CWS, ATL and other’s listed.
* I usually don’t list chalk plays and try to focus on lower ownership plays in good matchups.
*Main slate of FanDuel start time 7:07
Lock and Load Play of the Day
Edit-Marisnick did not make the lineup, but keep this info in mind for future reference.
Jake Marisnick (HOU)
Here is the deal on Marisnick. I play him vs LHP on the road and vs RHP at home. He has some crazy splits that most are not aware of. Let’s dig into his home stats vs RHP. He absolutely crushes the ball at home be RHP wih 8 HR’s in 66 AB’s (12% HR, which is extremely good), .333 batting average, .409 ISO(Elite), .461 wOBA(Elite) and a 35.3% HR/FB ratio. 10 of his 16 HR’s have come at home as well. Ok, now we can look at Tillman. He was horrible last year allowing a .400 wOBA to RHH and .409 to LHH. Add in the fact that he had a 10.87 ERA on the road. The Astros will be popular, but I don’t think Marisnick will be due to the Righty/Righty matchup. Very good chance for a HR and like his chances to double dong.
Pitcher
Brian Johnson (BOS)
Johnson pitched well in his limited time up with the Red Sox last year. He went 9 innings vs the Mariners and gave up 5 hits, not runs and struck out 8. Florida native pitching in Marlins Park, which benefits pitchers. Also, the Marlins lineup is sub par and I can see him going 6-7 innings, 6 K’s and getting the win.
Catcher
Chris Iannetta (COL)
Power upside (.255 ISO) vs a sub par pitcher.
1B
Joey Gallo (TEX)
Massive power vs RHP, .369 wOBA, .350 ISO and 47% HC. May not be the best ballpark for hitters, but Gallo can hit it out of any park.
Marwin Gonzalez– .397 wOBA, .230 iso vs RHp. Good spot vs Tillman (.430 wOBA vs LHH) and should have lower ownership. Most go right towards Springer, Altuvr and Correa.
Contrarian HOU stack- Marisnick, Bregaman and Gonzalez.
2B
Ozzie Albies (ATL)
BvP small sample size 3-6 with a HR. Hits right in front of Freeman. Roark struggles vs LHH’s with a .356 wOBA. Sun Trust is built for LHH’s. Nice stack Inciarte, Albies, Freeman and Markakis.
Chris Owings- roof is open in Chase Field, so like the Diamondbacks vs a lefty. Stack with Goldschmidt, Pollock, Ahmed and Iannetta.
3B
Alex Bergman (HOU)
Tillman…..
Cold bat, so may have less ownership.
Mart Davidson– good spot vs LHP.
Stack with Abreau, Garcia and Anderson.
SS
Nick Ahmed (ARI)
Crushes LHP- .450 wOBA and .229 ISO. Roof is open, so batters go-to-go.
OF
Nick Markakis (ATL)
Decent BvP vs Roark 7-28 with 3 HR’s. Nice park for LHH’s.
Yasmin Puig (LAD)
Reverse splits .377 wOBA and .266 ISO vs RHP. Going yard today. Stack with Taylor, Berlinger and Seager.
Brian Goodwin (WAS)
Another reverse splits- .413 wOBA and .273 ISO.
Avisal Garcia– .434 wOBA ba LHP.
Carlos Gonzalez– Car-GO- Boom tonight(going yard). Stack with Arenado, Blackmon.
* Good Luck and Stay Cashing
