MLB: First Look w/ @KamGdfs – 9.21.17


What’s going on Nation. We didn’t do a podcast last night so instead of not doing any MLB content for Thursday’s Slate I figured I would give you guys a brief rundown of the slate and where we want to start our research tomorrow. We constantly mention it, but there is about a week and half left of the MLB season and why not take advantage?

First Look w/KamG333

FanDuel is hooking us up with a 9-game slate tomorrow.

Rays at Orioles

  • Gabriel Ynoa is a guy you can attack with both LHH and RHH but personally I would attack him with the lefties.
    • Rays as a team are the worst team in baseball vs RHPing in the last 14 days with a 41 wRC+ and striking out 30% of the time.
  • Matt Andriese is someone who gives up the damage from the right side of the plate with a 2.29 HR/9 rate vs RHH’s this year. Hard Contact from both sides of the plate sits around 40% but induces ground balls at over a 50% rate vs LHH’s
    • Baltimore is the 4th worst team in baseball vs RHPing in the last 14 days with a 51wRC+ and a 27% k percentage.

Royals at Blue Jays

  • Jason Vargas gives up more HR/9 to RHH at 1.42 than 1.17 for LHH. His xFIP for the LHH’s is 5.68 which is really bad. So you cant go wrong from both sides here.
    • Kendry Morales hits a lot better from the right side of the plate where he will be hitting tomorrow.
      • As RHH this year .356 avg, .229 ISO, 156wRC+, and 43% hard contact rate.
    • JA Happ can get blown up at times and the Royals just blew up a lefty today!! His numbers don’t glare out as bad from either side of the plate. RHH get a slight edge but not by much.
      • Cain, Melky, Gordon, Moss have good BvP

Twins at Tigers

  • Adalberto Mejia is a reverse splits pitcher but stats indicate regression in numbers vs RHH’s. 2.3 HR/9 to LHH’s.
    • Kinsler and Candelario
  • Jordan Zimmerman is someone you can stack against from both sides of the plate with LHH’s getting a slight edge based on the stats but not by much.
    • Minnesota backs- pick’em

Cards at Reds

  • Carlos Martinez is someone I will have to look into more tomorrow but got roughed up his last start at CHC and looks like the Reds touch him up in spots.
    • Scooter and Cozart have homered off him.
    • Ball park downgrade
  • Homer Bailey the cardinals have killed him in his career and want bats against him, not him throwing for me.
    • Carpenter, Fowler, Yadi

Nats at Braves

  • Tanner Roark good vs RHH but stuggles vs LHH. It’s a matter of if he has his sinker going or not and I think he has found it. Don’t mind pitching him tomorrow or taking a Braves LHH vs him either.
  • RA Dickey… Lol

White Sox at Astros

  • Carson Fulmer is bad at pitching and has terrible numbers vs both sides. Fly ball rates are at 58% vs RHH and 65% vs LHH. 2.8HR/9 vs LHH.
    • I’ve seen flashes of some Hou offense lately, maybe tomorrow they can put it all together.
  • Dallas Keuchel is in a great spot vs a strikeout heavy team but they have good BvP against him as they touched him up before he went on the DL.
  • Astros are -316 favorites with the CWS having a 3 run total.

Cubs vs Brewers

  • Jake Arrieta is coming back off the DL in a huge series opener vs the Brewers at Miller Park. Arrietta has good BvP vs the Brewers.
    • Brewers lefties would be the ones to get to him tomorrow with maybe a hot Domingo bat as well.
  • Zach Davies got touched up his last start vs MIA but has pitched well vs the Cubs this year.
    • Limits hard contact and keeps the ball on the ground. 1 offs for Cubs, Bryant good BvP.

Rockies at Padres

  • Tyler Anderson I am not going to target for pitching or against tomorrow.
  • Clayton Richard you can attack against with the RHH’s

 Rangers at Mariners

  • Cole Hamels can get hurt by these RHH tomorrow for the Mariners
    • Haniger
  • Paxton is my dude when healthy, but he is not. Velo in that last start was down 3-4 mph. Fade until proves me he is.
    • Texas bats hit well tonight finally.
    • Andrus, Beltre, Chirinos are in play as the last start Paxton had he got shelled by the HOU righties.

 Thanks Nation!