The Pitching Prospectus w/ @CK_013 – 8.9.17

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Previously known as the GPP Pitching Prospectus, this article will now cover pitchers for both cash games and GPPs. I spend a majority of my day researching pitchers so I figured in addition to my thoughts on GPP flyers, why not list the guys I like in cash as well. 

To be clear I typically don’t make my final choices until moments before the games start. This is because I am always checking the WiseTake Pitching model to see what opposing line-up numbers look like. I do however have a short list of pitchers that I am interested in for the day and will be sharing that with you.

The Pitching Prospectus w/ CK013

Slate Notes: Not a ton of clear cut safety tonight. 

Cash Games

Higher Cost Options – 

Gio Gonzalez – He’s priced better on FanDuel but he just faced Miami and almost through a no-hitter. Stanton is red hot right now and that’s scary, but still Gio has been successful this year against him and he is a heavy favorite here.

Colin McHugh – He’s got a decent match-up against the White Sox. The Sox beat up Keuchel last night but since returning from injury everyone has beat up Keuchel. McHugh carries some solid strikeout upside and the White Sox have struggled all year against righties.

Rick Porcello – I’d expect Porcello to be a popular cash option tonight (more so on DK) especially after what Sale did the these Ray’s last night. I am not big on Porcello today in GPPs but I think he’s fine to play in cash if you like him. Remember though this Ray’s line-up will be very different from the one Sale saw last night.

Lower Cost  Options – 

Asher Wojciechowski – Of all the young Red’s pitchers Asher has the most K-upside. He has looked pretty good this season and he could be the one to finally bring the Padres back down to earth. The Padres are still striking out which means there is still upside. Of course with a young kid pitching in a small park, there is plenty of risk here.

Trevor Cahill – This is a price play on DraftKings. He hasn’t seemed right lately but he is priced about as much as a top outfielder on DraftKings. If you want to punt the pitcher and still have upside he is an intriguing option though he hasn’t looked good as of late.

GPP

Top Options –

Zack Greinke – Greinke has a tough match-up and a bad park, but we know he has elite stuff. Greinke’s K/9 is higher at home this season and the Dodgers while potent, have been striking out at a fairly high rate. Of course there is also the narrative of Greinke facing his old team, you can expect some extra english on his pitches tonight.

Alex Wood – I have some big time concerns with Wood after what Patio Joe said about his velocity decline this year but in GPPs he shouldn’t be ignored. He has faced the Braves and the Giants in his last three starts, two teams that don’t offer a ton of K-upside. The D-Backs at potent at home and they have a very powerful line-up but they also present that K-upside Wood was missing.

Cheaper Options –

Asher Wojciechowski – Of all the young Red’s pitchers Asher has the most K-upside. He has looked pretty good this season and he could be on the finally bring the Padres back down to earth. The Padres are still striking out which means there is still upside. Of course with a young kid pitching in a small park, there is plenty of risk here.

Sean Newcomb – This kid has K-upside but at home I can’t trust him in cash. GPPs are much better suited for this kid and the Phillies hot streak won’t last forever.

Brandon Woodruff – This kid came through for me last time he pitched and I am considering going back to well at his price. The Twins have been hitting well and the game is in a small ball park so I can’t recommend him in cash but in GPPs you can take a chance.

Trevor Cahill – This is a price play on DraftKings. He hasn’t seemed right lately but he is priced about as much as a top outfielder on DraftKings. If you want to punt the pitcher and still have upside he is an intriguing option though he hasn’t looked good as of late.